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Mobile phone industry predictions for 2013

Mark

Iain Graham, James Rosewell and Mark Bridge look into the future

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Mark Bridge writes:

Predicting the future is easy. Making accurate predictions is more of a challenge. In our final podcast of 2012 we've provided a forecast for the mobile telecoms industry in 2013 - and we've also looked back at last year's expectations.

So... what do the three of us at TheFonecast.com expect from mobile phones and wireless technology next year?

James started with an optimistic outlook for BlackBerry. He reckons the delay to the new BlackBerry 10 platform should be seen as an indication of RIM's determination to get things right before launch.

I was less positive about the prospects for Ericsson and Nokia in 2013, although James pointed out that the growth of Windows Phone 8 would help Nokia. In fact, he expects Microsoft's mobile market share to double in the next twelve months.

Both Iain and James anticipated the end of the SMS boom; Iain blaming rival messaging services whilst James said spam was causing a loss of perceived value.

Iain predicted mobile security becoming increasingly important to users but James wasn't so sure consumer behaviour would change much.

Network mergers were ruled out, new 4G networks were expected and a confident stock market was likely to encourage the industry.

Finally, an Amazon phone seems to be on the cards for 2013, new technology could prompt some different smartphone form factors... and I wondered whether Rovio would be bought by a big Hollywood animator.

Will any of this come true?  Well, you can check our track record from last year's forecasts and hear all of this year's predictions in our special podcast. Listen to the programme on our website audio player, via iTunes, by using our RSS feed or by downloading the mp3 file directly.

Discover the latest mobile industry headlines as they happen by following us on Twitter, via RSS or on our Facebook page. If you prefer updates by email, please sign up for our free weekly newsletter using the Register link in the top right-hand corner of our website.

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Mark Luthar

This year is going to be very important for smartphone field because this year a new concept is launching which is "phablets". let's see what happens !!!!

Samsung Galaxy S3 PAYG

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Recent Podcasts

ExclusivePodcast - 10th March 2010

Jack Wraith, chief executive for the Telecommunications UK Fraud Forum and chairman of the Mobile Industry Crime Action Forum, talks to Iain Graham about mobile phone crime and security. In addition, James and Mark join Iain for their regular look at the week's mobile industry headlines.

ExclusivePodcast - 3rd March 2010

The Fonecast takes an in-depth look at the week's headlines. T-Mobile and Orange are given the go-ahead to merge their UK businesses, consumers get more protection when using mobile data in Europe, O2 announces its UK results and Skype drops support for Windows Mobile phones.

ExclusivePodcast - 24th February 2010

Iain, James and Mark are all back in the UK for a Mobile World Congress retrospective, a look at the week's mobile industry headlines and an interview with Rolf Schmitz from Dolby Mobile.

ExclusivePodcast - 19th February 2010

Two interviews from this week's Mobile World Congress in Barcelona: Jeff Taylor, co-founder of mobile phone producer INQ Mobile, and Simon Bransfield-Garth from voice security company Cellcrypt.

ExclusivePodcast - 18th February 2010

James Rosewell and Mark Bridge have another report from Mobile World Congress in Barcelona. They interview Mary Carol Harris fom Visa Europe about mobile money and they discuss the event's other big news, from applications and product launches to NTT DoCoMo's eye-controlled headphones.

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