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Thursday, April 7, 2011

Almost half the world's new smartphones will be running Android by the end of next year

49% of smartphones sold around the world will be running Android at the end of 2012, according to a report from Gartner.

Total worldwide smartphone sales are expected to reach 468 million units this year, which is 57.7% up year-on-year. Android is forecast to have 38.5% of those sales, making it the world’s most popular mobile operating system.

Sales of devices that have an operating system open to app developers - generally ‘smart’ mobile phones - are expected to account for 26% of all mobile handset sales this year, rising to 47% by 2015.

Gartner predicts that Apple’s iOS will remain in second place for several years, despite its market share slipping slightly from next year, while the Nokia/Microsoft partnership will see Windows Phone moving to capture the third-largest worldwide share by 2013.

Carolina Milanesi, research vice president at Gartner, said “The growth in sales of media tablets expected in 2011 and future years will widen the ecosystems that open OS communications devices have created. This will, by and large, function more as a driver than an inhibitor for sales of open OS devices. Consumers who already own an open OS communications device will be drawn to media tablets and more often than not, to media tablets that share the same OS as their smartphone. This allows consumers to be able to share the same experience across devices as well as apps, settings or game scores. At the same time, tablet users who don’t own a smartphone could be prompted to adopt one to be able to share the experience they have on their tablets.”

Worldwide ‘Open OS’ device sales to end users (thousands of units)

OS

2010

2011

2012

2015

Symbian

111,577

89,930

32,666

661

Market share %

37.6

19.2

5.2

0.1

Android

67,225

179,873

310,088

539,318

Market share %

22.7

38.5

49.2

48.8

Research In Motion

47,452

62,600

79,335

122,864

Market share %

16.0

13.4

12.6

11.1

Apple iOS

46,598

90,560

118,848

189,924

Market share %

15.7

19.4

18.9

17.2

Microsoft

12,378

26,346

68,156

215,998

Market share %

4.2

5.6

10.8

19.5

Other Operating Systems

11,417.4

18,392.3

21,383.7

36,133.9

Market share %

3.8

3.9

3.4

3.3

Total Market

296,647

467,701

630,476

1,104,898

Source: Gartner (April 2011)

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Author: The Fonecast
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