Android will remain the most-shipped smartphone operating system for the next five years according to the International Data Corporation, although Android’s market share will start to decline after 2012. Smartphone shipments are forecast to grow 38.8% year-on-year to 686 million units in 2012.
IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker predicts a total of almost 1.8 billion mobile phones being shipped this year, a 4% increase from 2011’s total. This overall slow growth is mainly due to a decline in feature phone shipments. However, feature phones are still expected to comprise 61.6% of the total mobile phone market this year.
Ramon Llamas, senior research analyst with IDC’s Mobile Phone Technology and Trends team, said “Underpinning the smartphone market is the constantly shifting OS landscape. Android will maintain leadership throughout our forecast, while others will gain more mobile operator partnerships (Apple) or currently find themselves in the midst of a major transition (BlackBerry and Windows Phone/Windows Mobile). What remains to be seen is how these different operating systems - as well as others - will define and shape the user experience beyond what we see today in order to attract new customers and encourage replacements.”