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Thursday, April 7, 2011

Almost half the world's new smartphones will be running Android by the end of next year

49% of smartphones sold around the world will be running Android at the end of 2012, according to a report from Gartner.

Total worldwide smartphone sales are expected to reach 468 million units this year, which is 57.7% up year-on-year. Android is forecast to have 38.5% of those sales, making it the world’s most popular mobile operating system.

Sales of devices that have an operating system open to app developers - generally ‘smart’ mobile phones - are expected to account for 26% of all mobile handset sales this year, rising to 47% by 2015.

Gartner predicts that Apple’s iOS will remain in second place for several years, despite its market share slipping slightly from next year, while the Nokia/Microsoft partnership will see Windows Phone moving to capture the third-largest worldwide share by 2013.

Carolina Milanesi, research vice president at Gartner, said “The growth in sales of media tablets expected in 2011 and future years will widen the ecosystems that open OS communications devices have created. This will, by and large, function more as a driver than an inhibitor for sales of open OS devices. Consumers who already own an open OS communications device will be drawn to media tablets and more often than not, to media tablets that share the same OS as their smartphone. This allows consumers to be able to share the same experience across devices as well as apps, settings or game scores. At the same time, tablet users who don’t own a smartphone could be prompted to adopt one to be able to share the experience they have on their tablets.”

Worldwide ‘Open OS’ device sales to end users (thousands of units)

OS

2010

2011

2012

2015

Symbian

111,577

89,930

32,666

661

Market share %

37.6

19.2

5.2

0.1

Android

67,225

179,873

310,088

539,318

Market share %

22.7

38.5

49.2

48.8

Research In Motion

47,452

62,600

79,335

122,864

Market share %

16.0

13.4

12.6

11.1

Apple iOS

46,598

90,560

118,848

189,924

Market share %

15.7

19.4

18.9

17.2

Microsoft

12,378

26,346

68,156

215,998

Market share %

4.2

5.6

10.8

19.5

Other Operating Systems

11,417.4

18,392.3

21,383.7

36,133.9

Market share %

3.8

3.9

3.4

3.3

Total Market

296,647

467,701

630,476

1,104,898

Source: Gartner (April 2011)

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Opinion Articles

‘The Eyes Have It’ at Mobile World Congress

James Rosewell writes:

DoCoMo are one of many network operators and handset manufacturers demonstrating innovative new products as Mobile World Congress. Our eye was caught by the employee demonstrating “Eye Controlled Earphones”. It’s a good job the ladies from the CBOSS stand weren’t walking past at the time.

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'Mobile Money Monday' at Mobile World Congress

James Rosewell writes:

Monday’s Mobile World Congress conference agenda dedicated one of 4 streams to Mobile Money - Transfers, Transactions and Technology allowing all stakeholders to share experiences and debate the future of Mobile and Money.

Two types of service dominated presentations and panel discussions; Near Field Communication (NFC) technology enabling payment at traditional Point of Sale (PoS), and the Mobile Wallet replacing plastic or cash.

Author: The Fonecast
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‘Innovation Corner’ at Mobile World Congress

James Rosewell writes:

Here’s my pick of the 3 most innovative companies I’ve uncovered at the 2010 Mobile World Congress.

Cootek.com win the prize for simplest innovation... an accurate touch screen keyboard. They’re a few months away from being ready to release the software to handset manufacturers, but the demo handsets worked very well. The keyboard assumes the user is not going to press the intended key, but in fact might miss and press another key in the same area. Based on this knowledge and an extensive dictionary of words and language context, it’s able to determine the intended word with surprising accuracy. I sincerely hope their technology will be made available for the Nexus One in the not too distant future.

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Google “Mobile First” from Eric Schmidt’s Key Note at Mobile World Congress

James Rosewell writes:

Google CEO, Eric Schmidt, presented a compelling vision of a mobile centric future. The phone has become the “high value end point” for Google services enabled by a combination of increasing handset power, mobile data networks and cloud computing. By far the scarcest resource is the bandwidth available through the mobile data networks. Google appear committed to work with Mobile Network Operators (MNO) to maximise bandwidth usage, although several audience questions suggested scepticism from the main stream mobile industry. Eric expressed a need to maintain a harmonious relationship with MNOs stating Google could not operate its service on mobile devices without their co-operation.

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The great Windows Mobile 7 conspiracy theory

Mark Bridge writes:

I like a good conspiracy theory. A good one, mind you. None of this “Funny thing happened on the way to Mars” nonsense. Oh no, not me. And, despite occasionally mirroring Jerry Fletcher by balancing a bottle on the door handle, I’ve never been inclined to publish such a theory. Until now.

You see, it’s Mobile World Congress in a fortnight’s time. Which is when the great and the good of the mobile industry – along with their mates and hangers-on – head for Barcelona. Microsoft will be there. They’re holding a press briefing on Monday afternoon. And there’s a lot of talk about Windows Mobile 7 being (unofficially) on the agenda. But where’s the evidence?

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