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Friday, December 21, 2012

Mobile phone industry predictions for 2013

Iain Graham, James Rosewell and Mark Bridge look into the future

Mark Bridge writes:

Predicting the future is easy. Making accurate predictions is more of a challenge. In our final podcast of 2012 we've provided a forecast for the mobile telecoms industry in 2013 - and we've also looked back at last year's expectations.

So... what do the three of us at TheFonecast.com expect from mobile phones and wireless technology next year?

James started with an optimistic outlook for BlackBerry. He reckons the delay to the new BlackBerry 10 platform should be seen as an indication of RIM's determination to get things right before launch.

I was less positive about the prospects for Ericsson and Nokia in 2013, although James pointed out that the growth of Windows Phone 8 would help Nokia. In fact, he expects Microsoft's mobile market share to double in the next twelve months.

Both Iain and James anticipated the end of the SMS boom; Iain blaming rival messaging services whilst James said spam was causing a loss of perceived value.

Iain predicted mobile security becoming increasingly important to users but James wasn't so sure consumer behaviour would change much.

Network mergers were ruled out, new 4G networks were expected and a confident stock market was likely to encourage the industry.

Finally, an Amazon phone seems to be on the cards for 2013, new technology could prompt some different smartphone form factors... and I wondered whether Rovio would be bought by a big Hollywood animator.

Will any of this come true?  Well, you can check our track record from last year's forecasts and hear all of this year's predictions in our special podcast. Listen to the programme on our website audio player, via iTunes, by using our RSS feed or by downloading the mp3 file directly.

Discover the latest mobile industry headlines as they happen by following us on Twitter, via RSS or on our Facebook page. If you prefer updates by email, please sign up for our free weekly newsletter using the Register link in the top right-hand corner of our website.
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1 comments on article "Mobile phone industry predictions for 2013"

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Mark Luthar

1/15/2013 12:15 PM

This year is going to be very important for smartphone field because this year a new concept is launching which is "phablets". let's see what happens !!!!

Samsung Galaxy S3 PAYG

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Opinion Articles

Last week at The Fonecast: 24th June 2013

More of the same

Mark Bridge writes:

Another week, another couple of product announcements from Samsung. There appears to be no stopping them, despite a recent drop in the company’s share price.

This time it’s a couple of tablets – one of which runs both Android and Windows 8 – and a 20 megapixel camera that’s got a 4G-enabled Android device built in.

Author: The Fonecast
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Last week at The Fonecast: 17th June 2013

Making the network truly mobile

Mark Bridge writes:

The telecommunications industry was making plenty of headlines last week – but much of it wasn’t particularly upbeat.

The debate about privacy and security continued in the wake of allegations about US agents intercepting internet traffic. Meanwhile, Nokia prepared to make its last Symbian smartphones and Tradedoubler warned that mobile devices were having a negative effect on high-street consumer loyalty.

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How to shield from internet snooping

George Putic of voanews.com writes:

When news broke about U.S. government agencies collecting metadata about its citizens’ Internet and phone communications, many were surprised by its scope. The surveillance covered a vast number of Internet messages and phone calls. The government did not deny the action but pointed out that the collected data contained, not the substance of the communication, but the so-called metadata.

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Giving it all away

Paying with our privacy

Mark Bridge writes:

There’s been a lot of talk recently about PRISM, which may allow the US National Security Agency - and anyone they choose - to access some of our personal online information if it passes through the USA. It’s unclear exactly what (if anything) is being shared with whom… and given the nature of national security, we may never know.

However, alongside the possibility of governments seeing information we thought was secure, it’s also worth pointing out that we choose to share plenty of online information ourselves.

Author: The Fonecast
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6 things you need to know about mobile research, smartphone rumours and imaginary new products

Mark Bridge writes:

Where did it all go wrong?  When did the mainstream mobile industry start to slide away from innovation and into repetitive nonsense?  For a while I suspected the downloadable ringtone was to blame. Just days after hearing 'Barbie Girl' on the mobile phone of a man from Vodafone Value Added Services in the late 1990s, I'd downloaded a poptastic tune to my own Nokia 2110. Soon, the entire mobile world was focussed on 30-second instrumentals instead of technical innovation. It was the beginning of the end.

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