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Friday, December 21, 2012

Mobile phone industry predictions for 2013

Iain Graham, James Rosewell and Mark Bridge look into the future

Mark Bridge writes:

Predicting the future is easy. Making accurate predictions is more of a challenge. In our final podcast of 2012 we've provided a forecast for the mobile telecoms industry in 2013 - and we've also looked back at last year's expectations.

So... what do the three of us at TheFonecast.com expect from mobile phones and wireless technology next year?

James started with an optimistic outlook for BlackBerry. He reckons the delay to the new BlackBerry 10 platform should be seen as an indication of RIM's determination to get things right before launch.

I was less positive about the prospects for Ericsson and Nokia in 2013, although James pointed out that the growth of Windows Phone 8 would help Nokia. In fact, he expects Microsoft's mobile market share to double in the next twelve months.

Both Iain and James anticipated the end of the SMS boom; Iain blaming rival messaging services whilst James said spam was causing a loss of perceived value.

Iain predicted mobile security becoming increasingly important to users but James wasn't so sure consumer behaviour would change much.

Network mergers were ruled out, new 4G networks were expected and a confident stock market was likely to encourage the industry.

Finally, an Amazon phone seems to be on the cards for 2013, new technology could prompt some different smartphone form factors... and I wondered whether Rovio would be bought by a big Hollywood animator.

Will any of this come true?  Well, you can check our track record from last year's forecasts and hear all of this year's predictions in our special podcast. Listen to the programme on our website audio player, via iTunes, by using our RSS feed or by downloading the mp3 file directly.

Discover the latest mobile industry headlines as they happen by following us on Twitter, via RSS or on our Facebook page. If you prefer updates by email, please sign up for our free weekly newsletter using the Register link in the top right-hand corner of our website.
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1 comments on article "Mobile phone industry predictions for 2013"

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Mark Luthar

1/15/2013 12:15 PM

This year is going to be very important for smartphone field because this year a new concept is launching which is "phablets". let's see what happens !!!!

Samsung Galaxy S3 PAYG

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Opinion Articles

‘The Eyes Have It’ at Mobile World Congress

James Rosewell writes:

DoCoMo are one of many network operators and handset manufacturers demonstrating innovative new products as Mobile World Congress. Our eye was caught by the employee demonstrating “Eye Controlled Earphones”. It’s a good job the ladies from the CBOSS stand weren’t walking past at the time.

Author: The Fonecast
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'Mobile Money Monday' at Mobile World Congress

James Rosewell writes:

Monday’s Mobile World Congress conference agenda dedicated one of 4 streams to Mobile Money - Transfers, Transactions and Technology allowing all stakeholders to share experiences and debate the future of Mobile and Money.

Two types of service dominated presentations and panel discussions; Near Field Communication (NFC) technology enabling payment at traditional Point of Sale (PoS), and the Mobile Wallet replacing plastic or cash.

Author: The Fonecast
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‘Innovation Corner’ at Mobile World Congress

James Rosewell writes:

Here’s my pick of the 3 most innovative companies I’ve uncovered at the 2010 Mobile World Congress.

Cootek.com win the prize for simplest innovation... an accurate touch screen keyboard. They’re a few months away from being ready to release the software to handset manufacturers, but the demo handsets worked very well. The keyboard assumes the user is not going to press the intended key, but in fact might miss and press another key in the same area. Based on this knowledge and an extensive dictionary of words and language context, it’s able to determine the intended word with surprising accuracy. I sincerely hope their technology will be made available for the Nexus One in the not too distant future.

Author: The Fonecast
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Google “Mobile First” from Eric Schmidt’s Key Note at Mobile World Congress

James Rosewell writes:

Google CEO, Eric Schmidt, presented a compelling vision of a mobile centric future. The phone has become the “high value end point” for Google services enabled by a combination of increasing handset power, mobile data networks and cloud computing. By far the scarcest resource is the bandwidth available through the mobile data networks. Google appear committed to work with Mobile Network Operators (MNO) to maximise bandwidth usage, although several audience questions suggested scepticism from the main stream mobile industry. Eric expressed a need to maintain a harmonious relationship with MNOs stating Google could not operate its service on mobile devices without their co-operation.

Author: The Fonecast
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The great Windows Mobile 7 conspiracy theory

Mark Bridge writes:

I like a good conspiracy theory. A good one, mind you. None of this “Funny thing happened on the way to Mars” nonsense. Oh no, not me. And, despite occasionally mirroring Jerry Fletcher by balancing a bottle on the door handle, I’ve never been inclined to publish such a theory. Until now.

You see, it’s Mobile World Congress in a fortnight’s time. Which is when the great and the good of the mobile industry – along with their mates and hangers-on – head for Barcelona. Microsoft will be there. They’re holding a press briefing on Monday afternoon. And there’s a lot of talk about Windows Mobile 7 being (unofficially) on the agenda. But where’s the evidence?

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