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Monday, April 11, 2011

Half of all tablet device sales will be Apple iPads for the next three years

A new report from Gartner says the Apple iOS will dominate table device sales until 2015 - and will account for more than half of annual tablet sales for the next three years.

69% of tablets sold this year are expected to have the Apple iOS, dropping to 47% in 2015. Meanwhile the Google Android OS is forecast to almost double its share of the media tablet market from 20% in 2011 to 39% in 2015.

Carolina Milanesi, research vice president at Gartner, said “Seeing the response from both consumers and enterprises to the iPad, many vendors are trying to compete by first delivering on hardware and then trying to leverage the platform ecosystem. Many, however, are making the same mistake that was made in the first response wave to the iPhone, as they are prioritizing hardware features over applications, services and overall user experience. Tablets will be much more dependent on the latter than smartphones have been, and the sooner vendors realize that the better chance they have to compete head-to-head with Apple.”

Worldwide sales of media tablets to end-users by OS (thousands of units)

OS

2010

2011

2012

2015

Apple iOS

  14,766

  47,964

   68,670

  138,497

Market share (%)

83.9

68.7

63.5

47.1

Android

2,502

13,898

26,382

113,457

Market Share (%)

14.2

19.9

24.4

38.6

MeeGo

107

788

1,271

3,057

Market share (%)

0.6

1.1

1.2

1.0

webOS

0

2,796

4,245

8,886

Market share (%)

0.0

4.0

3.9

3.0

PlayBook QNX

0

3,901

7,134

29,496

Market share (%)

0.0

5.6

6.6

10.0

Other Operating Systems

234

432

510

700

Market share (%)

1.3

0.6

0.5

0.2

Total Market

17,610

   69,780

   108,211

   294,093

Source: Gartner (April 2011)

Gartner has defined a ‘media tablet’ as a device whose primary focus is the consumption of media. It’s based on a touch-screen display with a diagonal dimension that is over 5 inches and is designed for handheld use (i.e. screen size up to around 15 inches). The media tablet runs a ‘lightweight’ OS such as Android/ iOS or a subset of a fully-featured OS such as Windows.

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Opinion Articles

SpinVox visit offers a few clues about the technology

Mark Bridge writes:

So, dear reader, let’s start at the beginning. Once upon a time, a mere five years ago, there was SpinVox. A company created with help from entrepreneur Christina Domecq – whose surname offers a clue to her family’s background – and Daniel Doulton, the man behind the Psion series 5. (Sherry and portable computers; two of my favourite products. But I digress).

The company’s promise was simple: to turn voicemail messages into SMS text messages.

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That just about covers it

Mark Bridge writes:

In my last article I looked forward to a world of cyborgs… but feared that decent battery life could stifle my dreams. And this week I’m on a similar theme, despairing that the UK’s mobile coverage problems probably won’t be solved before the Silver Jubilee of Vodafone and Cellnet’s networks.

To illustrate my worries, let me tell you a story.

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What price for a hands-free conversation?

Iain Graham writes:

When you get up tomorrow morning and get in the car, why don't you screw up three £20 notes and lob 'em out of the window?!  Oh, and whilst you are at it, take out your driving licence, and put three points in the penalties column!!

Why would you do that, I hear you ask?

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The Singularity is… errm… on its way, I think

Mark Bridge writes:

I’m an optimist. I’m not quite sure why I’m wired that way but I’m perfectly happy with it. Much as you’d expect, I suppose. And although I tend not to tap-dance in the gutter when it’s raining, I firmly believe that life is like a musical.

That’s probably why I’m such a fan of what’s become known as ‘the Singularity’; a point when technology and evolution are expected to combine. As computers become smarter, so they’ll be able to build smarter computers themselves – and before you know it they’ll be repairing people and improving the design. If all goes well I’ll look like a combination of Robocop and Jude Law.

“Fascinating”, I hear you say. “Bring on the medical nanobots. But what’s all this got to do with mobile phones?”

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Web Browser vs. Application Stores

James Rosewell writes:

Anyone involved in the mobile industry will have hardly failed to notice the hype surrounding mobile application stores led by Apple. Application stores provide a really simple way for consumers to install applications on their mobile phones. They’re so simple I heard Iain Graham had used one the other week!

However they don’t solve the fundamental problem of handset compatibility.

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